It feels unbelievable because we are used to linear solutions—where if you want to fix 10% more crime, you have to hire 10% more police. The reason the $440M figure is so significant is that this technology is non-linear. It functions like a “Social Vaccine.” You don’t need to vaccinate every single person to stop an epidemic; you only need to reach a specific threshold to achieve herd immunity.
The Three Pillars of Non-Linear Impact
- The “Leverage” Effect (The Catalyst): In chemistry, a small amount of a catalyst can change the state of a massive volume of liquid. A group of 150 practitioners isn’t “doing the work” of 4,000 police officers; rather, they are lowering the collective stress of the 1.8 million people in the state. When social stress is lower, people are less impulsive, less prone to domestic conflict, and more cooperative.
- The High “Unit Cost” of Crime: The $440M seems vast until you look at what a single crime actually costs the taxpayer. According to the Australian Institute of Criminology, a single homicide can cost upwards of $10 million, and a serious assault can cost $70,000 in police, health, and legal fees. Preventing just a fraction of these crimes pays for the training of the group many times over.
- Historical Precedent: This is not just theory. In the Merseyside (UK) study, the crime rate dropped so significantly when a coherence group was established that the region moved from being one of the most dangerous in England to one of the safest. Independent economists calculated the savings to the government were thousands of times greater than the cost of maintaining the group.
The “Range of Impact” Model
To ensure a conservative and realistic outlook, we provide a range of potential outcomes. Even if only a fraction of the scientifically predicted effect is realized, the project remains highly viable.
| Success Tier | Crime Reduction (%) | Annual Estimated Savings | Return on Investment (ROI) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Minimum Viable | 1% Reduction | $22,000,000 | ~70:1 |
| Conservative | 5% Reduction | $110,000,000 | ~350:1 |
| Scientific Target | 20% Reduction | $440,000,000 | ~1,400:1 |
Even at the “Minimum” level of a 1% reduction, the project still delivers a massive return on investment.